Sherry Sylvester

Demography is Still Not Destiny for the Left

When the Census 2020 numbers were finally released late last month, Texas Democrats jubilantly joined the national press in celebrating that the number of white people in the U.S. had declined over the last decade — 8.6% nationally and 5.3% in Texas. Predicting the data would make a huge impact on the redistricting in Texas, some gushed that Republicans must face the “demographic reality that the state is growing in ways that put the party’s [GOP] stranglehold in question.”

Now that the maps have been released, the left is screaming that they have been robbed because there are no new Hispanic or Black opportunity districts—a tough blow for identity-politics sycophants. The irony is that these so-called “opportunity” districts actually isolate minority candidates, depriving them of the opportunity to demonstrate their appeal to a broad base of Texans which would give them a springboard for a run for statewide office—as we are seeing this cycle with state Rep. James White, R-Hillister.

Analysts are still looking at what the racial and ethnic data in the 2020 census means, since the census questions changed in 2020. Over the last decade, we have also begun to identify ourselves differently. Six times as many Texans described themselves as “mixed” race and “other” on the 2020 census than did so in 2010.

But whether there are more or fewer white people in Texas won’t make much difference to the political prospects of the left. It has been betting on its demographic ship to come in for decades, but each time it issues a “Blue Wave” warning, it fails to make landfall.

The left keeps losing and it doesn’t have a clue why.

A post-2020 election autopsy report leaked last year concluded that “…there was a pronounced differential turnout effect among Latino voters in Texas that hurt Democratic candidates up and down the ballot.” The report also found that “Republicans did a better job of getting their African-American voters out than Democrats did.”

What most Texans know about liberals is that they strongly support abortion and they oppose gun rights. Because the majority of Texans are on the other side of those issues, the left’s candidates start out with two strikes against them. Add in their attack on the Texas oil and gas industry—the source of millions of jobs in Texas including many worked by Hispanics—and they are in a bigger hole. That’s one reason they took such a beating in South Texas in 2020.

Then there’s the left’s disdain for businesses, which ultimately is an attack on every Texas business owner, both large and small, regardless of race. Texans know our state is the nation’s job creator because of low taxes and reasonable regulations, which the left consistently vows to reverse.

As if that isn’t enough, remember that a majority of Texans also support school choice, ending taxpayer funded lobbying, and lowering property taxes. Majorities don’t want boys playing on girls’ sports teams and they don’t want their kids to be taught racial division in public schools. It makes no sense to most Texans—regardless of what color they are.

Despite opposing virtually everything most Texans support, the left continues to insist that somehow it is being robbed. But the right to draw the maps was won in the 2020 election—in which the left was soundly defeated. As for gerrymandering, it began in Massachusetts in 1812 and has been used in every election since. It wasn’t invented by Texas conservatives.

Census 2020 won’t bail out the left in Texas. Behind all the hoopla, elections are always about policies and ideas—and all of the left’s are bad.